Asian shares fell, extending a global slump after Federal Reserve meeting minutes pointed to a faster-than-expected rise in U.S. interest rates. This is due to concerns about persistent inflation. Worries over higher U.S. rates combined with growing concerns about the rapid spread of the Omicron coronavirus variant to weigh on riskier assets.
Asian shares took their cue from overnight losses on Wall Street. The Nasdaq plunged more than 3%. The S&P 500 fell the most since Nov. 26, when news of the Omicron variant first hit global markets. MSCI’s broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan fell 0.95%, Australian shares slid 1.53% and Japan’s Nikkei stock index fell 2.08%. Chinese blue-chips fell 1.37% as a private sector survey showed China’s service sector activity expanded more quickly, but continuing COVID-19 outbreaks weighed on the outlook.
An investor rotation out of technology continued to hit high-profile names, with Sony Group slumping 6.8%. Carlos Casanova, senior economist for Asia at Union Bancaire Privee in Hong Kong said that there is a risk that the Fed might fall into the trap of making policy errors. This is because they do have to perhaps hike interest rates faster than expected. Given the timing of their exit from quantitative easing, it could coincide with a slowdown in the economic cycle and also a decline in inflation on base effects.
Also, if they are pricing in a faster price pace of Fed tapering. That doesn’t translate well for Asian asset classes, so they are likely going to see more outflows from the region. This will translate both into weaker equities and also depreciatory pressures on the FX front. Fed policymakers said in the meeting that a very tight job market and unabated inflation might require it to raise interest rates. They begin reducing its overall asset holdings as a second brake on the economy. Fed officials were uniformly concerned about the pace of price increases that promised to persist.
The more hawkish than expected views of U.S. central bank officials also pushed U.S. Treasury yields higher. The U.S. 10-year yield remained elevated at 1.6929%. U.S. 2-year and 5-year yields, which are more sensitive to rate hike expectations. This hovered near their highest levels since the first quarter of 2020. Higher U.S. yields continued to support a firm dollar. Though the currency gave back some ground against the yen after touching five-year highs, falling 0.13% to 115.95. The euro held steady at $1.1311 and the dollar index was little changed at 96.161.
Global benchmark Brent crude fell 1.26% to $79.78 per barrel. U.S. crude dipped 1.07% to $77.02 a barrel after OPEC+ producers agreed to boost production. Spot gold was stable at $1,808.90 per ounce.